Met Office issues UK heatwave update with chances 'twice as likely' - Birmingham Live

Met Office issues UK heatwave update with chances 'twice as likely' - Birmingham Live

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Met Office issues UK heatwave update with chances 'twice as likely'In a three-month outlook, the Met Office has recorded an increased likelihood of a hot summer.NewsJames Rodger Content


Editor10:12, 02 Jun 2025In a three-month outlook, the Met Office has recorded an increased likelihood of a hot summer. The UK has been issued a heatwave update - with forecasters hinting


that the country could be "twice as likely". In a three-month outlook, the Met Office has recorded an increased likelihood of a hot summer.


This is "largely being driven by the background warming of the UK climate", the meteorologists state. The forecast said there is a 2.3 times normal chance the summer will be hotter than


average.


‌ A Met Office spokesperson said: "While the current three-month outlook shows an increased chance of a hot summer, the temperature signals for this summer are similar to those for recent


years and consistent with our warming climate.


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"The increased chance of hotter than average temperatures is not a guarantee of prolonged hot weather or heatwaves, but it does mean that heatwave conditions could be reached at times."


The Met Office added: "However, it's important to bear in mind that an increased chance of hot conditions could also reflect a mix of hot and cool days, warm nights, or less extreme levels


of warmth rather than continual heatwave conditions specifically."


Article continues below Netweather TV's Nick Finnis stated: "All seasonal forecast models predict that summer will be warmer than average for the UK. The average results of eight different


models predict for the 3 months:


"A June that is warmer than average across the country, with an average temperature 1-2°C above normal nationwide.


A July that is warmer than average across the country, with an average temperature 0.5 to 1°C above normal for northern UK, 1-2°C above normal for southern UK


Article continues below "An August that is warmer than average across the country, , with an average temperature 0.5 to 1°C above normal for northern UK, 1-2°C above normal for southern UK."


Mr Finnis added: "The European model (ECMWF) for June projects 1-2°C above normal for most of England and Wales, Scotland 0.5-1C above. For July, 0.5 to 1°C above normal for most of the UK,


apart from southern England & East Anglia – which are 1-2C above.


"For August, 0.5 to 1°C above normal for most the UK, Scotland around average."