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George Osborne will need to be “Churchillian” in acting swiftly to bolster corporate confidence and unlock private investment in energy, transport, broadband and housing, according to the
head of Britain’s biggest business lobby group. Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne holds Disraeli's original budget box as he leaves 11 Downing Street for Parliament. Getty
Images John Cridland, director-general of the CBI, said business was still standing by the chancellor’s deficit reduction strategy, but wanted a “Plan A-plus” in his autumn statement and
growth review on November 29 in the face of a weakening economy. “I think we need to be a bit Churchillian here. You know, what did Churchill say in the war? Action this day,” Mr Cridland
said in an interview. He pledged that business would respond if Mr Osborne acted to improve the UK’s productive capacity by getting the market framework and planning regime right for
infrastructure projects, while accepting the chancellor had few tools to stimulate growth immediately. “We fool ourselves if we look for things that could have an impact on the growth rate
in the first quarter of 2012,” Mr Cridland said. “But that doesn’t mean that it’s all pointless, because if the problem today is confidence, then you can turn confidence without having a
detailed practical impact on day one.” Business would “respond, quickly, to clear signals that government is acting to strengthen the economic capital of the nation in the medium- to
long-term”. Eight months into his job as CBI chief, Mr Cridland insisted companies were proving resilient as clouds darkened over the global economy. “They are hunkering down, expecting it
to be stormy, but lots of them are doing steady business,” he said. “They’re sometimes having to lose margin to protect volume, to keep the wages paid. That can’t go on forever, but there’s
a certain sense that we have got to find our way through this.” The mood, he said, was not defeatist. “It reminds me of someone who’s swum out a bit further than they ought to have done at
sea. If the winds get up it’s quite choppy getting back to the shore, but what alternative have you? You swim harder.” It was no good politicians urging businesses to invest or recruit extra
staff. “They will only do it when they see the demand there, and that’s back to restoring confidence.” The CBI’s annual conference on November 21 will be entitled Beyond India and China –
emphasising the urgency of stepping up exports across emerging markets. Mr Cridland has felt “refreshed and depressed” by the party conference season – refreshed because all the parties
recognised it was a “sober moment” for the economy, but depressed because he heard a lot of “ill-founded” criticism of the business community at the Labour and Liberal Democrat conferences.
He was pleased Mr Osborne refused to backtrack on deficit reduction, but wanted now to hear about steps to encourage investment in infrastructure, housing and boost the growth potential of
midsized companies. “It amazes me that even now, with all the difficulties we’re having, I haven’t got anybody in the CBI membership who wants less reduction in public spending, because they
know that that AAA sovereign rating is the most important thing, and their ability to borrow money at reasonable rates.” Mr Osborne’s credit-easing proposals were “well worth some
examination”, he said. The CBI supported the Bank of England’s £75bn extension of quantitative easing while warning its impact on near-term growth prospects would be modest Mr Cridland will
listen nervously, however, for what the Office for Budget Responsibility says about whether the output gap is smaller than previously estimated and, therefore, whether the economy’s
long-term growth rate is more muted. In spite of his support for deficit reduction, Mr Cridland suggested the Treasury look at the “profile” of planned spending to see if some capital
projects could be brought forward. But he insisted most of his proposals could be achieved without extra state spending. “People in the Treasury say some of my infrastructure ideas are not
spade-ready. But even the ones that aren’t spade-ready – if corporate balance sheets are strong, business will invest if it sees a forward map that says the UK is a good bet.” The key to
energy investment was getting the market framework right and, especially, obtaining planning permissions. Energy from waste plants were particularly bogged down by local opposition, as were
wind turbines. For transport, new funding mechanisms were needed, such as toll roads. On broadband, he said the UK needed to “get moving” with an auction for the spectrum that could carry
next-generation mobile services, the so-called 4G network. Mr Cridland believes housing should be boosted through a revitalised mortgage indemnity guarantee scheme, possibly through a deal
between mortgage providers and housebuilders and with some “very focused” government support.. Businesses wanted to see a “more worked-up rebalancing of the economy” in Mr Osborne’s autumn
statement, he said. “They want the government to indicate where it felt we had a chance, as the UK, of being a world winner, and what government could do to put its shoulder to the wheel to
help achieve that.”