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Access through your institution Buy or subscribe An Yin of the University of California in Los Angeles and his colleagues analysed modern and historical records of earthquakes in northern
China. Mapping their locations revealed a 160-kilometre-long fault segment running through Tianjin, roughly 100 kilometres southeast of Beijing. This area has not experienced a major tremor
for about 8,400 years, and the authors estimate that a quake of roughly magnitude 7.5 is either overdue or will strike in the next 2,000 to 3,000 years. Given the region's complex fault
structure, however, other factors could explain the lack of major earthquakes, such as multiple smaller quakes releasing energy from the fault. This is a preview of subscription content,
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Earthquake risk for North China city. _Nature_ 515, 468 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1038/515468a Download citation * Published: 26 November 2014 * Issue Date: 27 November 2014 * DOI:
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