Obesity, overweight and liver disease in the midspan prospective cohort studies

Obesity, overweight and liver disease in the midspan prospective cohort studies

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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVES: To analyse the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and liver disease in men and women. DESIGN: The Midspan prospective cohort studies. PARTICIPANTS: The three studies were: Main study, screened in 1965–1968, workplaces across Scotland, the general population of the island of Tiree and mainland relatives; Collaborative study, conducted from 1970 to 1973, 27 workplaces in Glasgow, Clydebank and Grangemouth; Renfrew/Paisley general population study, screened in 1972–1976. After exclusions there were 16 522 men and 10 216 women, grouped by BMI into under/normal weight (< 25 kg m–2), overweight (25 to < 30 kg m–2) and obese (⩾30 kg m–2). MEASUREMENTS: Relative rates (RRs) of liver disease mortality, subdivided into liver cancer and all other liver disease, by BMI category and per s.d. increase in BMI, followed-up to end 2007. RRs of liver disease from any diagnosis on the death certificate, hospital discharge records or cancer registrations (Collaborative and Renfrew/Paisley studies only 13 027 men and 9328 women). Analyses adjusted for age and study, then other confounders. RESULTS: In total, 146 men (0.9%) and 61 women (0.6%) died of liver disease as main cause. There were strong associations of BMI with liver disease mortality in men (RR per s.d. increase in BMI=1.41 (95% confidence interval 1.21–1.65)). Obese men had more than three times the rate of liver disease mortality than under/normal weight men. Adjustment for other risk factors had very little effect. No substantial or robust associations were observed in women. In all, 325 men (2.5%) and 155 women (1.7%) had liver disease established from any source. Similar positive associations were observed for men, and there was evidence of a relationship in women. CONCLUSIONS: BMI is related to liver disease, although not to liver disease mortality in women. The current rise in overweight and obesity may lead to a continuing epidemic of liver disease. Access through your institution Buy or subscribe This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution ACCESS OPTIONS Access through your institution Subscribe to this journal Receive 12 print issues and online access $259.00 per year only $21.58 per issue Learn more Buy this article * Purchase on SpringerLink * Instant access to full article PDF Buy now Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout ADDITIONAL ACCESS OPTIONS: * Log in * Learn about institutional subscriptions * Read our FAQs * Contact customer support SIMILAR CONTENT BEING VIEWED BY OTHERS WAIST-HIP RATIO IS SUPERIOR TO BMI IN PREDICTING LIVER-RELATED OUTCOMES AND SYNERGIZES WITH HARMFUL ALCOHOL USE Article Open access 06 September 2023 IMPACT OF OVERWEIGHT AND OBESITY ON THE RISK OF HEPATOCELLULAR CARCINOMA: A PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY IN 14.3 MILLION KOREANS Article 05 March 2022 EPIDEMIOLOGICAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF LIVER CANCER ATTRIBUTABLE TO MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS FROM 1990 TO 2021 Article Open access 01 June 2025 REFERENCES * Leon DA, McCambridge J . Liver cirrhosis mortality rates in Britain from 1950–2002: an analysis of routine data. _Lancet_ 2006; 367: 52–56. Article  Google Scholar  * Griffiths C, Brock A . Twentieth century mortality trends in England and Wales. _Health Stat Q_ 2003; 18: 5–17. Google Scholar  * Leyland AH, Dundas R, McLoone P, Boddy FA . _Inequalities in Mortality in Scotland 1981–2001 (Occasional Paper No. 16)_. Glasgow: UK MRC Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, 2007. Google Scholar  * Health in Scotland 2007. Annual Report of the Chief Medical Officer. Scottish Government 2008 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2008/11/26155748/0. * The Scottish Health Survey 2003 Volume 2: Adults. Bromley C, Sproston K, Shelton N 2005, http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/76169/0019729.pdf. * Marchesini G, Moscatiello S, Di Domizio S, Forlani G . Obesity-associated liver disease. _J Clin Endocrinol Metab_ 2008; 993: S74–S80. Article  Google Scholar  * Olsen AH, Parkin DM, Sasieni P . Cancer mortality in the United Kingdom: projections to the year 2025. _Br J Cancer_ 2008; 99: 1549–1554. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Larsson SC, Wolk A . Overweight, obesity and risk of liver cancer: a meta-analysis of cohort studies. _Br J Cancer_ 2007; 97: 1005–1008. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Ioannou GN, Weiss NS, Kowdley KV, Dominitz JA . Is obesity a risk factor for cirrhosis-related death or hospitalization? A population-based cohort study. _Gastroenterology_ 2003; 125: 1053–1059. Article  Google Scholar  * Batty GD, Shipley MJ, Kivimaki M, Barzi F, Davey Smith G, Mitchell R _et al_. Obesity and overweight in relation to liver disease mortality in men: 38 year follow-up of the original Whitehall study. _Int J Obes_ 2008; 32: 1741–1744. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Hart CL, MacKinnon PL, Watt GCM, Upton MN, McConnachie A, Hole DJ _et al_. The Midspan studies. _Int J Epidemiol_ 2005; 34: 28–34. Article  Google Scholar  * Hawthorne VM, Gillis CR, Lorimer AR, Calvert FR, Walker TJ . Blood pressure in a Scottish island community. _BMJ_ 1969; 4: 654. Article  Google Scholar  * Davey Smith G, Hart C, Hole D, MacKinnon P, Gillis C, Watt G _et al_. Education and occupational social class: which is the more important indicator of mortality risk? _J Epidemiol Community Health_ 1998; 52: 153–160. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Hawthorne VM, Watt GCM, Hart CL, Hole DJ, Davey Smith G, Gillis CR . Cardiorespiratory disease in men and women in urban Scotland: baseline characteristics of the Renfrew/Paisley (Midspan) Study population. _Scott Med J_ 1995; 40: 102–107. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * General Register Office. _Classification of Occupations 1960_. HMSO: London, 1960; 1–136. * General Register Office. _Classification of Occupations 1966_. HMSO: London, 1966; 1–148. * Medical Research Council. Definition and classification of chronic bronchitis for epidemiological purposes. _Lancet_ 1965; I: 775–779. Google Scholar  * Rose GA, Blackburn H, Gillum RF, Prineas RJ . _Cardiovascular Survey Methods_. World Health Organization: Geneva, 1982. Google Scholar  * Prineas RJ, Crow RS, Blackburn H . _The Minnesota Code Manual of Electrocardiographic Findings: Standards and Procedures for Measurement and Classification_. John Wright: Littleton, MA, 1982; 1–229. Google Scholar  * Prospective Studies Collaboration. Body-mass index and cause-specific mortality in 900 000 adults: collaborative analyses of 57 prospective studies. _Lancet_ 2009; 373: 1083–1096. Article  Google Scholar  * Angulo P . Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. _N Engl J Med_ 2002; 346: 1221–1231. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Brunt EM . Pathology of fatty liver disease. _Mod Pathol_ 2007; 20: S40–S48. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Marchesini G, Bugianesi E, Forlani G, Cerrelli F, Lenzi M, Manini R _et al_. Nonalcoholic fatty liver, steatohepatitis, and the metabolic syndrome. _Hepatology_ 2003; 37: 917–923. Article  Google Scholar  * Marchesini G, Brizi M, Morselli-Labate AM, Bianchi G, Bugianesi E, McCullough AJ _et al_. Association of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease with insulin resistance. _Am J Med_ 1999; 107: 450–455. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Browning JD, Szczepaniak LS, Dobbins R, Nuremberg P, Horton JD, Cohen JC _et al_. Prevalence of hepatic steatosis in an urban population in the United States: impact of ethnicity. _Hepatology_ 2004; 40: 1387–1395. Article  Google Scholar  * Williams R . Global challenges in liver disease. _Hepatology_ 2006; 44: 521–526. Article  Google Scholar  * World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research. _Food, Nutrition, Physical Activity, and the Prevention of Cancer: a Global Perspective_. AICR: Washington DC, 2007. * Calle EE, Rodriguez C, Walker-Thurmond K, Thun MJ . Overweight, obesity and mortality from cancer in a prospectively studied cohort of US adults. _N Engl J Med_ 2003; 348: 1625–1638. Article  Google Scholar  * Bolton-Smith C, Woodward M, Tunstall-Pedoe H, Morrison C . Accuracy of the estimated prevalence of obesity from self reported height and weight in an adult Scottish population. _J Epidemiol Community Health_ 2000; 54: 143–148. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Dauphinot V, Wolff H, Naudin F, Gueguen R, Sermet C, Gaspoz J _et al_. New obesity body mass index threshold for self-reported data. _J Epidemiol Community Health_ 2009; 63: 128–132. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Obesity in Scotland. An epidemiology briefing. Grant I, Fischbacher C, Whyte B 2007 . http://www.scotpho.org.uk/nmsruntime/saveasdialog.asp?lID=4048&sID=348. Download references ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Victor Hawthorne carried out the original Midspan studies. Pauline MacKinnon is the Midspan administrator. This research was supported by the Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government, grant number CZG/2/421. G David Batty is a Wellcome Trust Fellow (WBS U.1300.00.006.00012.01). The Medical Research Council (MRC) Social and Public Health Sciences Unit receives funding from the UK Medical Research Council and the Chief Scientist Office at the Scottish Government Health Directorates. AUTHOR INFORMATION AUTHORS AND AFFILIATIONS * Division of Community Based Sciences, Public Health and Health Policy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK C L Hart, D S Morrison & R J Mitchell * MRC Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, Glasgow, UK G D Batty * Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK G Davey Smith Authors * C L Hart View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * G D Batty View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * D S Morrison View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * R J Mitchell View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * G Davey Smith View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar CORRESPONDING AUTHOR Correspondence to C L Hart. ETHICS DECLARATIONS COMPETING INTERESTS The authors declare no conflict of interest. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION Supplementary Information accompanies the paper on International Journal of Obesity website SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS Reprints and permissions ABOUT THIS ARTICLE CITE THIS ARTICLE Hart, C., Batty, G., Morrison, D. _et al._ Obesity, overweight and liver disease in the Midspan prospective cohort studies. _Int J Obes_ 34, 1051–1059 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1038/ijo.2010.20 Download citation * Received: 22 October 2009 * Revised: 09 December 2009 * Accepted: 28 December 2009 * Published: 09 February 2010 * Issue Date: June 2010 * DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ijo.2010.20 SHARE THIS ARTICLE Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content: Get shareable link Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article. Copy to clipboard Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative KEYWORDS * liver disease * overweight * prospective cohort studies * Scotland

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVES: To analyse the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and liver disease in men and women. DESIGN: The Midspan prospective cohort studies. PARTICIPANTS: The three


studies were: Main study, screened in 1965–1968, workplaces across Scotland, the general population of the island of Tiree and mainland relatives; Collaborative study, conducted from 1970 to


1973, 27 workplaces in Glasgow, Clydebank and Grangemouth; Renfrew/Paisley general population study, screened in 1972–1976. After exclusions there were 16 522 men and 10 216 women, grouped


by BMI into under/normal weight (< 25 kg m–2), overweight (25 to < 30 kg m–2) and obese (⩾30 kg m–2). MEASUREMENTS: Relative rates (RRs) of liver disease mortality, subdivided into


liver cancer and all other liver disease, by BMI category and per s.d. increase in BMI, followed-up to end 2007. RRs of liver disease from any diagnosis on the death certificate, hospital


discharge records or cancer registrations (Collaborative and Renfrew/Paisley studies only 13 027 men and 9328 women). Analyses adjusted for age and study, then other confounders. RESULTS: In


total, 146 men (0.9%) and 61 women (0.6%) died of liver disease as main cause. There were strong associations of BMI with liver disease mortality in men (RR per s.d. increase in BMI=1.41


(95% confidence interval 1.21–1.65)). Obese men had more than three times the rate of liver disease mortality than under/normal weight men. Adjustment for other risk factors had very little


effect. No substantial or robust associations were observed in women. In all, 325 men (2.5%) and 155 women (1.7%) had liver disease established from any source. Similar positive associations


were observed for men, and there was evidence of a relationship in women. CONCLUSIONS: BMI is related to liver disease, although not to liver disease mortality in women. The current rise in


overweight and obesity may lead to a continuing epidemic of liver disease. Access through your institution Buy or subscribe This is a preview of subscription content, access via your


institution ACCESS OPTIONS Access through your institution Subscribe to this journal Receive 12 print issues and online access $259.00 per year only $21.58 per issue Learn more Buy this


article * Purchase on SpringerLink * Instant access to full article PDF Buy now Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout ADDITIONAL ACCESS OPTIONS: * Log in


* Learn about institutional subscriptions * Read our FAQs * Contact customer support SIMILAR CONTENT BEING VIEWED BY OTHERS WAIST-HIP RATIO IS SUPERIOR TO BMI IN PREDICTING LIVER-RELATED


OUTCOMES AND SYNERGIZES WITH HARMFUL ALCOHOL USE Article Open access 06 September 2023 IMPACT OF OVERWEIGHT AND OBESITY ON THE RISK OF HEPATOCELLULAR CARCINOMA: A PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY IN


14.3 MILLION KOREANS Article 05 March 2022 EPIDEMIOLOGICAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF LIVER CANCER ATTRIBUTABLE TO MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS FROM 1990 TO 2021 Article Open access 01 June


2025 REFERENCES * Leon DA, McCambridge J . Liver cirrhosis mortality rates in Britain from 1950–2002: an analysis of routine data. _Lancet_ 2006; 367: 52–56. Article  Google Scholar  *


Griffiths C, Brock A . Twentieth century mortality trends in England and Wales. _Health Stat Q_ 2003; 18: 5–17. Google Scholar  * Leyland AH, Dundas R, McLoone P, Boddy FA . _Inequalities in


Mortality in Scotland 1981–2001 (Occasional Paper No. 16)_. Glasgow: UK MRC Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, 2007. Google Scholar  * Health in Scotland 2007. Annual Report of the


Chief Medical Officer. Scottish Government 2008 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2008/11/26155748/0. * The Scottish Health Survey 2003 Volume 2: Adults. Bromley C, Sproston K, Shelton


N 2005, http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/76169/0019729.pdf. * Marchesini G, Moscatiello S, Di Domizio S, Forlani G . Obesity-associated liver disease. _J Clin Endocrinol Metab_ 2008;


993: S74–S80. Article  Google Scholar  * Olsen AH, Parkin DM, Sasieni P . Cancer mortality in the United Kingdom: projections to the year 2025. _Br J Cancer_ 2008; 99: 1549–1554. Article 


CAS  Google Scholar  * Larsson SC, Wolk A . Overweight, obesity and risk of liver cancer: a meta-analysis of cohort studies. _Br J Cancer_ 2007; 97: 1005–1008. Article  CAS  Google Scholar 


* Ioannou GN, Weiss NS, Kowdley KV, Dominitz JA . Is obesity a risk factor for cirrhosis-related death or hospitalization? A population-based cohort study. _Gastroenterology_ 2003; 125:


1053–1059. Article  Google Scholar  * Batty GD, Shipley MJ, Kivimaki M, Barzi F, Davey Smith G, Mitchell R _et al_. Obesity and overweight in relation to liver disease mortality in men: 38


year follow-up of the original Whitehall study. _Int J Obes_ 2008; 32: 1741–1744. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Hart CL, MacKinnon PL, Watt GCM, Upton MN, McConnachie A, Hole DJ _et al_.


The Midspan studies. _Int J Epidemiol_ 2005; 34: 28–34. Article  Google Scholar  * Hawthorne VM, Gillis CR, Lorimer AR, Calvert FR, Walker TJ . Blood pressure in a Scottish island community.


_BMJ_ 1969; 4: 654. Article  Google Scholar  * Davey Smith G, Hart C, Hole D, MacKinnon P, Gillis C, Watt G _et al_. Education and occupational social class: which is the more important


indicator of mortality risk? _J Epidemiol Community Health_ 1998; 52: 153–160. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Hawthorne VM, Watt GCM, Hart CL, Hole DJ, Davey Smith G, Gillis CR .


Cardiorespiratory disease in men and women in urban Scotland: baseline characteristics of the Renfrew/Paisley (Midspan) Study population. _Scott Med J_ 1995; 40: 102–107. Article  CAS 


Google Scholar  * General Register Office. _Classification of Occupations 1960_. HMSO: London, 1960; 1–136. * General Register Office. _Classification of Occupations 1966_. HMSO: London,


1966; 1–148. * Medical Research Council. Definition and classification of chronic bronchitis for epidemiological purposes. _Lancet_ 1965; I: 775–779. Google Scholar  * Rose GA, Blackburn H,


Gillum RF, Prineas RJ . _Cardiovascular Survey Methods_. World Health Organization: Geneva, 1982. Google Scholar  * Prineas RJ, Crow RS, Blackburn H . _The Minnesota Code Manual of


Electrocardiographic Findings: Standards and Procedures for Measurement and Classification_. John Wright: Littleton, MA, 1982; 1–229. Google Scholar  * Prospective Studies Collaboration.


Body-mass index and cause-specific mortality in 900 000 adults: collaborative analyses of 57 prospective studies. _Lancet_ 2009; 373: 1083–1096. Article  Google Scholar  * Angulo P .


Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. _N Engl J Med_ 2002; 346: 1221–1231. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Brunt EM . Pathology of fatty liver disease. _Mod Pathol_ 2007; 20: S40–S48. Article 


CAS  Google Scholar  * Marchesini G, Bugianesi E, Forlani G, Cerrelli F, Lenzi M, Manini R _et al_. Nonalcoholic fatty liver, steatohepatitis, and the metabolic syndrome. _Hepatology_ 2003;


37: 917–923. Article  Google Scholar  * Marchesini G, Brizi M, Morselli-Labate AM, Bianchi G, Bugianesi E, McCullough AJ _et al_. Association of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease with


insulin resistance. _Am J Med_ 1999; 107: 450–455. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Browning JD, Szczepaniak LS, Dobbins R, Nuremberg P, Horton JD, Cohen JC _et al_. Prevalence of hepatic


steatosis in an urban population in the United States: impact of ethnicity. _Hepatology_ 2004; 40: 1387–1395. Article  Google Scholar  * Williams R . Global challenges in liver disease.


_Hepatology_ 2006; 44: 521–526. Article  Google Scholar  * World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research. _Food, Nutrition, Physical Activity, and the Prevention of


Cancer: a Global Perspective_. AICR: Washington DC, 2007. * Calle EE, Rodriguez C, Walker-Thurmond K, Thun MJ . Overweight, obesity and mortality from cancer in a prospectively studied


cohort of US adults. _N Engl J Med_ 2003; 348: 1625–1638. Article  Google Scholar  * Bolton-Smith C, Woodward M, Tunstall-Pedoe H, Morrison C . Accuracy of the estimated prevalence of


obesity from self reported height and weight in an adult Scottish population. _J Epidemiol Community Health_ 2000; 54: 143–148. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  * Dauphinot V, Wolff H, Naudin


F, Gueguen R, Sermet C, Gaspoz J _et al_. New obesity body mass index threshold for self-reported data. _J Epidemiol Community Health_ 2009; 63: 128–132. Article  CAS  Google Scholar  *


Obesity in Scotland. An epidemiology briefing. Grant I, Fischbacher C, Whyte B 2007 . http://www.scotpho.org.uk/nmsruntime/saveasdialog.asp?lID=4048&sID=348. Download references


ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Victor Hawthorne carried out the original Midspan studies. Pauline MacKinnon is the Midspan administrator. This research was supported by the Chief Scientist Office of the


Scottish Government, grant number CZG/2/421. G David Batty is a Wellcome Trust Fellow (WBS U.1300.00.006.00012.01). The Medical Research Council (MRC) Social and Public Health Sciences Unit


receives funding from the UK Medical Research Council and the Chief Scientist Office at the Scottish Government Health Directorates. AUTHOR INFORMATION AUTHORS AND AFFILIATIONS * Division of


Community Based Sciences, Public Health and Health Policy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK C L Hart, D S Morrison & R J Mitchell * MRC Social and Public Health


Sciences Unit, Glasgow, UK G D Batty * Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK G Davey Smith Authors * C L Hart View author publications You can also search for


this author inPubMed Google Scholar * G D Batty View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * D S Morrison View author publications You can also


search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * R J Mitchell View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * G Davey Smith View author publications


You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar CORRESPONDING AUTHOR Correspondence to C L Hart. ETHICS DECLARATIONS COMPETING INTERESTS The authors declare no conflict of


interest. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION Supplementary Information accompanies the paper on International Journal of Obesity website SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES RIGHTS AND


PERMISSIONS Reprints and permissions ABOUT THIS ARTICLE CITE THIS ARTICLE Hart, C., Batty, G., Morrison, D. _et al._ Obesity, overweight and liver disease in the Midspan prospective cohort


studies. _Int J Obes_ 34, 1051–1059 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1038/ijo.2010.20 Download citation * Received: 22 October 2009 * Revised: 09 December 2009 * Accepted: 28 December 2009 *


Published: 09 February 2010 * Issue Date: June 2010 * DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ijo.2010.20 SHARE THIS ARTICLE Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:


Get shareable link Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article. Copy to clipboard Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative KEYWORDS * liver


disease * overweight * prospective cohort studies * Scotland