Change in psa velocity is a predictor of overall survival in men with biochemically-recurrent prostate cancer treated with nonhormonal agents: combined analysis of four phase-2 trials

Change in psa velocity is a predictor of overall survival in men with biochemically-recurrent prostate cancer treated with nonhormonal agents: combined analysis of four phase-2 trials

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ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: Multiple phase-2 trials in men with biochemically-recurrent prostate cancer (BRPC) have assessed the impact of nonhormonal agents on PSA kinetics. We have previously


demonstrated that changes in PSA kinetics correlate with metastasis-free survival; however, it is unknown whether these changes also correlate with overall survival (OS). METHODS: We


performed a combined retrospective analysis of 146 men with BRPC treated on phase-2 trials using one of four investigational drugs: lenalidomide (_n_=60), marimastat (_n_=39), ATN-224


(_n_=22) and imatinib (_n_=25). We examined factors influencing OS, including within-subject changes in PSA kinetics (PSA slope, PSA doubling time and PSA velocity), before and 6 months


after treatment initiation. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 83.1 months, 49 of 146 men had died. In univariate Cox regression analysis, two factors were associated with OS: baseline PSA


velocity and change in PSA velocity on therapy. In a landmark multivariable model, stratified by study (which controlled for age, Gleason score, type of local therapy and use of


androgen-deprivation therapy prior to metastases), baseline PSA velocity and increase in PSA velocity on therapy remained independent predictors of OS. Median OS for men with an increase in


PSA velocity on treatment was 115.4 months and was not reached for men with a decrease in PSA velocity (hazard ratio=0.47, 95% confidence interval 0.25–0.88; _P_=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: This


hypothesis-generating study suggests that within-subject changes in PSA velocity after initiation of nonhormonal therapy may correlate with OS in men with BRPC. If validated in prospective


trials, change in PSA velocity may represent a reasonable intermediate end point for screening new agents in these patients. Access through your institution Buy or subscribe This is a


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DECLINE AFTER STARTING SECOND-GENERATION HORMONE THERAPY IN THE POST-DOCETAXEL SETTING PREDICTS CANCER-SPECIFIC SURVIVAL IN METASTATIC CASTRATE-RESISTANT PROSTATE CANCER Article 07 November


2023 REAL-WORLD OUTCOMES FOLLOWING BIOCHEMICAL RECURRENCE AFTER DEFINITIVE THERAPY WITH A SHORT PROSTATE-SPECIFIC ANTIGEN DOUBLING TIME: POTENTIAL ROLE OF EARLY SECONDARY TREATMENT Article


Open access 13 September 2024 IS TIME TO CASTRATION RESISTANT PROSTATE CANCER A POTENTIAL INTERMEDIATE END-POINT FOR TIME TO METASTASIS AMONG MEN INITIATING ANDROGEN DEPRIVATION THERAPY FOR


NON-METASTATIC PROSTATE CANCER WITH RAPID PSA DOUBLING TIME (<9 MONTHS)? Article 01 September 2022 REFERENCES * Paller CJ, Antonarakis ES . Management of biochemically recurrent prostate


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NIH grants P30 CA006973 (ESA) and T32CA009071 (DLS). AUTHOR INFORMATION AUTHORS AND AFFILIATIONS * Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center at Johns Hopkins, Baltimore, MD, USA D L Suzman, 


X C Zhou, M L Zahurak & E S Antonarakis * Kimmel Cancer Center at Thomas Jefferson University Hospital, Philadelphia, PA, USA J Lin Authors * D L Suzman View author publications You can


also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * X C Zhou View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * M L Zahurak View author publications You


can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * J Lin View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * E S Antonarakis View author


publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar CORRESPONDING AUTHOR Correspondence to E S Antonarakis. ETHICS DECLARATIONS COMPETING INTERESTS The authors declare


no conflict of interest. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION Supplementary Information accompanies the paper on the Prostate Cancer and Prostatic Diseases website SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION SUPPLEMENTARY


TABLES (DOC 251 KB) RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS Reprints and permissions ABOUT THIS ARTICLE CITE THIS ARTICLE Suzman, D., Zhou, X., Zahurak, M. _et al._ Change in PSA velocity is a predictor of


overall survival in men with biochemically-recurrent prostate cancer treated with nonhormonal agents: combined analysis of four phase-2 trials. _Prostate Cancer Prostatic Dis_ 18, 49–55


(2015). https://doi.org/10.1038/pcan.2014.44 Download citation * Received: 26 June 2014 * Revised: 28 August 2014 * Accepted: 23 September 2014 * Published: 11 November 2014 * Issue Date:


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