Play all audios:
ARISING FROM P. A. Tuckett et al., _Nature Communications_ https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12039-2 (2019). Tuckett et al.1 report on short-term events of ice flow acceleration on five
outlet glaciers of the northern Antarctic Peninsula and their relation to numerical model output of surface melt. The authors argue that the delivery of surface meltwater to the glacier bed
transiently increases the basal water pressure and enhances basal motion, causing near-instantaneous flow acceleration followed by subsequent drainage causing deceleration. An outdated
version of the grounding line (GL) vector, separating grounded and floating glacier ice, is used so that the majority of the analyzed velocity points are located on floating sections of
glacier termini where meltwater drainage does not have any effect on subglacial water pressure. Our independent analysis of glacier surface velocities exhibits for the speed-up events only
marginal changes in velocity on grounded ice and a significant increase of velocity on floating glacier sections progressing on prefrontal sea ice and ice mélange, clear evidence for the
dominant influence of ocean dynamic forcing as previously reported by refs. 2,3,4. The main data products used in ref. 1 are time series of 6-day mean velocities between October 2016 and
April 2018 for glaciers discharging into the Larsen A embayment (Drygalski Glacier), the Larsen B embayment (Crane, Hektoria, Jorum glaciers), and the Gerlache Strait (Cayley Glacier).
Velocities are derived from 6-day repeat-pass radar satellite images of the Sentinel-1 mission, aggregated into 1 km squared boxes at distances 1 km up to 10 km upstream of the glacier
fronts. The interpretation of the velocity data in terms of ice flow dynamics is critically based on the assumption that the boxes are located on grounded ice. However, high-resolution
digital elevation models (DEMs) of the TanDEM-X satellite mission, acquired in mid-2011, −2013, −2016 and the analysis of surface elevation change (SEC) show that major sections were afloat
already in these years4. The authors used an outdated GL version, so that in total 24 out of the 36 velocity boxes shown are located on floating sections of glacier termini: all 10 velocity
boxes on Hektoria Glacier, all six velocity boxes on Crane Glacier, three boxes on both Drygalski and Jorum glaciers and two boxes on Cayley Glacier. In Fig. 1, we show the GL locations of
Hektoria Glacier in 2013 and 2016, based on the break in slope in DEMs and on the SEC (Supplementary Figure 2). The glacier front advanced by 12 km between 2011 and 2016. The floating
section of the terminus covered in 2016 an area of 135 km2. The persistent sea ice cover since mid-2011 in the proglacial bay impeded calving, leading to terminus advance whilst glacier
thinning on grounded ice continued. Whereas the termini of Hektoria and Green glaciers extend into a wide bay, the tongues of the other studied glaciers are narrower and laterally confined
by mountain ridges. The floating parts of these glaciers extend several kilometers inland of the front along the center of the terminus, whereas the lateral margins rest on slopes, as shown
in Fig. 2d for Crane Glacier. We generated ice velocity maps of Antarctic outlet glaciers since 2015, in 12- and 6-day time intervals, depending on data availability according to the
Sentinel-1 operation plan5. Here, we argue that the velocity time series provide clear evidence for the dominant impact of oceanic forcing during the acceleration events highlighted by ref.
1. The examples in Fig. 2 show a distinct increase in the velocity magnitude along the central flowlines of Hektoria and Crane glaciers from grounded ice across the floating terminus and
further on in the prefrontal ice mélange and sea ice. In the absence of a solid sea ice cover (as for Cayley and Drygalski glaciers), the tracking of bergy bits and ice mélange provides
estimates on prefrontal drift velocities. The impact of strong off-shore winds and ocean currents during acceleration events is also evident in Sentinel-1 amplitude images, showing fast
off-coast movement of ice mélange. For example, the plume of ice touching the front of Drygalski Glacier on 21 March 2018 had been displaced 20 km eastward by 27 March 2018 (Supplementary
Figure 3). Removal of ice mélange causes significant short-term acceleration of marine-terminating glaciers6. Over the same time span, the young sea ice in front of the multiyear pack ice in
the Larsen B embayment drifted eastward by 15 km. Oceanic processes also have a large impact on multiannual variations of flow velocity and mass balance. Persistent multiannual sea ice in
the Larsen A embayment (from mid-2013 to 2016) and in the Larsen B embayment (since winter 2011) caused major decrease of flow velocities and the mass losses of grounded ice dropped from
9.73 Gt a−1 during 2011–2013 to 4.70 Gt a−1 during 2013–20164. A further point of concern is the use of relative changes in velocity in ref. 1 as a basis for inferring conclusions about the
sources for speed-up. First, it is unclear which criteria are used for selecting the melt-induced acceleration events out of the full sample of velocity spikes coinciding with modeled
surface melt. Second, the authors claim that a larger relative increase in velocity closer to the glacier front would be needed if marine processes were the trigger for the speed-up. Beside
this claim being based on relative velocity change, whereas any flux and mass considerations must be based on actual velocities, no quantitative analysis is provided to support this
statement. In addition, the assumption that surface meltwater of the transient events finds its way to the glacier bed and causes an increase of subglacial water pressure is speculative and
not relevant for floating ice. Apart from melt intensity, the freezing state of the snow/firn/ice body needs to be taken into account. The Larsen outlet glaciers have cold snow/ice bodies in
which a substantial portion of the meltwater released at the surface would freeze, in particular after cold periods7. Estimates on the intensity and spatial extent of melt events can be
deduced from C-band backscatter signatures8. For example, the event in March 2018 shows a modest decrease of the backscatter intensity on only one date (27 March 2018), indicating a short
period of modest surface melt not able to release sufficient water for drainage to the glacier bed. Another critical issue is the neglect of biases in the retrieved velocities caused by
shifts in the radar line-of-sight (LOS) distance by several meters owing to changes in radar signal penetration associated with change from dry to wet snow and vice versa. Depending on the
flow direction relative to LOS, this shift causes an underestimation or overestimation of the velocity (Supplementary Note 1). The Sentinel-1 data used in the study are from descending
orbits so that the transition from dry to wet snow introduces a decrease of velocity for glaciers, heading west and an increase for glaciers heading east, as evident in the different timing
of apparent acceleration on Cayley and Drygalski glaciers (Supplementary Figure 1). The issues addressed above question the interpretation of the presented material in terms of melt-induced
acceleration. Our analysis of velocity time series on grounded and floating glacier sections and the motion of proglacial sea ice and ice mélange confirm the findings of previous
publications that changes in velocity and ice export of northern Antarctic Peninsula outlet glaciers during recent years have been primarily governed by frontal stress perturbations
propagating up-glacier and by variations in oceanic boundary conditions. DATA AVAILABILITY Data generated during the study are included in the supplementary information files. Specifications
and public availability of additional data (surface topography and ice velocity) generated for previous studies and used in support of this study are detailed in ref. 4. REFERENCES *
Tuckett, P. A. et al. Rapid accelerations of Antarctic Peninsula outlet glaciers driven by surface melt. _Nat. Commun._ 10, 4311 (2019). Article ADS CAS Google Scholar * Scambos, T. A.
et al. Detailed ice loss pattern in the northern Antarctic Peninsula: widespread decline driven by ice front retreats. _Cryosphere_ 8, 2135–2145 (2014). Article ADS Google Scholar *
Wuite, J. et al. Evolution of surface velocities and ice discharge of Larsen B outlet glaciers from 1995 to 2013. _Cryosphere_ 9, 957–969 (2015). Article ADS Google Scholar * Rott, H. et
al. Changing pattern of ice flow and mass balance for glaciers discharging into the Larsen A and B embayments, Antarctic Peninsula, 2011 to 2016. _Cryosphere_ 12, 1273–1291 (2018). Article
ADS Google Scholar * Time Series of Ice Flow and Calving Flux Data, Antarctica, https://cryoportal.enveo.at/iv/ (2020). * Walter, J. I. et al. Oceanic mechanical forcing of a
marine-terminating Greenland glacier. _Ann. Glaciol._ 53, 181–192 (2012). Article ADS Google Scholar * Bøggild, C. E., Forsberg, R. & Reeh, N. Meltwater retention in a transect across
the Greenland ice sheet. _Ann. Glaciol._ 40, 169–173 (2005). Article ADS Google Scholar * Luckman, A. et al. Surface melt and ponding on Larsen C Ice Shelf and the impact of föhn winds.
_Antarct. Sci._ 26, 625–625 (2014). Article ADS Google Scholar Download references AUTHOR INFORMATION AUTHORS AND AFFILIATIONS * ENVEO IT GmbH, 6020, Innsbruck, Austria Helmut Rott &
Jan Wuite * Institute of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, University of Innsbruck, 6020, Innsbruck, Austria Helmut Rott * Department of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria
University, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 8ST, UK Jan De Rydt & G. Hilmar Gudmundsson * Institute for Remote Sensing Technology, German Aerospace Center, Oberpfaffenhofen, 82234, Wessling,
Germany Dana Floricioiu * Gateway Antarctica, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, 8140, New Zealand Wolfgang Rack Authors * Helmut Rott View author publications You can also search for
this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Jan Wuite View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Jan De Rydt View author publications You can also
search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * G. Hilmar Gudmundsson View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Dana Floricioiu View author
publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Wolfgang Rack View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar CONTRIBUTIONS
H.R. conceived the study approach and wrote the first version of the manuscript. J.W. processed the ice velocity data and prepared the figures. H.R, J.W., J.D.R., G.H.G., D.F., and W.R.
contributed to data analysis and compiled the final version of the manuscript. CORRESPONDING AUTHOR Correspondence to Helmut Rott. ETHICS DECLARATIONS COMPETING INTERESTS The authors declare
no competing interests. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PEER REVIEW INFORMATION _Nature Communications_ thanks the anonymous reviewers for their contribution to the peer review of this work.
PUBLISHER’S NOTE Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL SUPPLEMENTARY FILES SUPPLEMENTARY DATA 1 SUPPLEMENTARY DATA 2 RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS OPEN ACCESS This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the
source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative
Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by
statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. Reprints and permissions ABOUT THIS ARTICLE CITE THIS ARTICLE Rott, H., Wuite, J., De Rydt, J. _et al._ Impact of marine processes on flow
dynamics of northern Antarctic Peninsula outlet glaciers. _Nat Commun_ 11, 2969 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16658-y Download citation * Received: 20 November 2019 * Accepted:
15 May 2020 * Published: 11 June 2020 * DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16658-y SHARE THIS ARTICLE Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content: Get
shareable link Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article. Copy to clipboard Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative