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Adrian Goldberg speaks to Conservative insiders about how the Prime Minister is viewed by his own MPs and his chances of leading the party into the next General Election Adrian Goldberg 1
July 2020 ‘LAZY, SLAPDASH, BADLY ORGANISED’THE BACKBENCH GRUMBLINGS ON BORIS JOHNSON’S FUTURE HAVE BEGUN ADRIAN GOLDBERG SPEAKS TO CONSERVATIVE INSIDERS ABOUT HOW THE PRIME MINISTER IS
VIEWED BY HIS OWN MPS AND HIS CHANCES OF LEADING THE PARTY INTO THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION SHARE THIS ARTICLE Not content with presiding over the worst Coronavirus death toll in Europe, Boris
Johnson has set another unenviable record – by enjoying the shortest honeymoon period of any Prime Minister in living memory. The Conservatives are normally loyal to any leader they think
will keep them in power but, little more than six months after romping home with an 80 seat majority and a vow to “get Brexit done”, Johnson has faced savage criticism from his own side. His
predecessor Theresa May this week condemned the appointment of Brexit negotiator David Frost as the new National Security Advisor, while just a fortnight ago the former International
Development Secretary Andrew Mitchell described Johnson’s plan to merge his old department with the Foreign Office as “a serious error of judgement”. It normally takes a bit longer than this
for the backbench backbiting to begin. Margaret Thatcher faced internal dissent to her strict monetarist policies from the start of her premiership in 1979, but it wasn’t until she sacked
three ‘wet’ Cabinet ministers two years later that the serious catcalling began, led by Sir Ian Gilmour, one of the trio who had lost their jobs. Her successor John Major was in power for
five years before criticism of his leadership reached such a crescendo in 1995 that he was forced into a ‘back me or sack me’ leadership contest with John Redwood. Johnson, on the other
hand, is already facing as much flak from his own side as from the Labour Leader Keir Starmer and the ferocity of the attacks is remarkable for a politician still wearing his Prime
Ministerial ‘L’ plates. BEYOND EXCEPTIONALTHE ETONIAN ENGLISH IMPERIALISM AT THE HEART OF A DEADLY COVID-19 CRISIS May remarked this week that, in her nine years as a member of the National
Security Council, “I listened to the expert independent advice from national security advisors”. She scornfully described Frost as “a political appointee with no proven expertise in national
security”. The dagger she was wielding had already been sharpened by Mitchell, the Sutton Coldfield MP, who said on my podcast last month that the Government’s merger of the Department for
International Development with the Foreign and Commonwealth Office was “a quite extraordinary self-inflicted wound and a terrible mistake”. ------------------------- Seeking an explanation
for the ferocity of the attacks so early in his premiership, I spoke to a senior Brexiter who has worked closely with Johnson who explained that the circumstances of his accession to Downing
Street had emboldened backbenchers. “The whole circumstances of his election are upside down,” they said. “Normally you would be a leader in opposition for several years, but Boris came in
all of a sudden after Theresa May on the pretext of delivering Brexit. There are some backbenchers who can’t believe he’s Prime Minister. “They see him someone who was an MP, went off to
become Mayor of London, came back as an MP again and before you know it was Prime Minister. They don’t regard him as one of them.” According to this analysis, the key to Johnson’s long-term
survival among his own MPs rests on his ability to deliver a post-Coronavirus economic bounce, particularly in the ‘Red Wall’ of former Labour seats in the Midlands and the north won by the
Conservatives in 2019. One senior Conservative told _Byline Times_ that Johnson’s position isn’t under immediate threat, but that his long-term prospects were less certain. “His leadership
isn’t going to come under pressure just yet – not while we’re in the midst of a crisis, but he’s already seen as lazy, slapdash and badly organised,” they said. “The smart question isn’t
whether he’ll be challenged now, but whether he’ll still be there to lead us into the next election.” -------------------------